4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,401 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,339/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$174/mo
Annual
$2,085/yr
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.96%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.7% below list).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $139 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-898 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#381 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Henry County Public School District (rural): math 45% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #78 of 131 in VA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $81k; list at $150k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4BTV0ZCD6JSTZX
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29