213 Merriman Rd · Fieldale, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick ranch located on a quiet dead-end street. This home features hardwood floors throughout and a spacious dining room perfect for gatherings and entertaining. The property also includes an unfinished basement offering additional storage or potential future living space. An adjacent 0.9-acre lot is included with the sale, providing extra room to enjoy or expand. Seller is currently in the process of removing personal items from the home. Some photos may be digitally enhanced. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller. Buyer/Buyer Agent to verify.
Key facts
- 0.9-acre lot
- Unfinished basement
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#381 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Henry County Public School District (rural): math 45% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #78 of 131 in VA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $139 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-898 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; list at $150k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.96%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,557
- List price
- $149,999
- Delta
- -14.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374 Dillons Fork Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,113 (-12%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $94 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,431
- Equity at exit
- $39,118
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $31,157
- Equity at exit
- $43,612
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24089
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $422/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,999 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,999 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,999 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,999 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,999 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-16$149,999 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick ranch located on a quiet dead-end street. This home features hardwood floors throughout and a spacious dining room perfect for gatherings and entertaining. The property also includes an unfinished basement offering additional storage or potential future living space. An adjacent 0.9-acre lot is included with the sale, providing extra room to enjoy or expand. Seller is currently in the process of removing personal items from the home. Some photos may be digitally enhanced. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller. Buyer/Buyer Agent to verify.
-
2026-03-05$149,999 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick ranch located on a quiet dead-end street. This home features hardwood floors throughout and a spacious dining room perfect for gatherings and entertaining. The property also includes an unfinished basement offering additional storage or potential future living space. An adjacent 0.9-acre lot is included with the sale, providing extra room to enjoy or expand. Seller is currently in the process of removing personal items from the home. Some photos may be digitally enhanced. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller. Buyer/Buyer Agent to verify.
-
2009-02-20soldstatus $81,200
-
2007-10-15$79,700
-
2005-05-18soldstatus $76,150
-
2004-01-13$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $422 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,230 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$808/yr (+$67/mo · 191.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,071
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$422
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,286
- − Management
- −$1,286
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$438
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101920
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,579
- Composite
- 47.02/100
- National rank
- #2345
- State rank
- #78 of 131 in VA
Livability — Fieldale
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #381
- US rank
- #15400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fieldale, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,074
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,903 people
- By 2030
- 44,141 · -5.9%
- By 2040
- 38,687 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 33,742 · -28.1%
- By 2075
- 25,720 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 19,868 · -57.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.3% · R 66.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -32.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.60%
- Current HPI
- 122.8354
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $149,999 MLSRV
- 2026-03-05 Listed $149,999 MHPCAR
- 2009-02-20 Sold (MLS) $81,200 MHPCAR
- 2007-10-15 Listed $79,700 MHPCAR
- 2005-05-18 Sold (MLS) $76,150 MHPCAR
- 2004-01-13 Listed $74,900 MHPCAR
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $422 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…