4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,314 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,286
Tax + insurance
−$727
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$792
Net cashflow
$-84/mo
Annual
$-1,005/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.82%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$122,077
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $436k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $424k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $377k (13.5% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $377k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $47k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $44k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$75k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image shows significant damage to the roof.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4C9388CS6KHCAB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29