4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,120 sqft ·
Built 1924
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,387/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,977
Tax + insurance
−$1,239
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,971
Net cashflow
$1,200/mo
Annual
$14,402/yr
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.42%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$265,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $949k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $600/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $939k (1.1% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($935k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $935k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#41 in CT, #2,966 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
Norwalk School District (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #104 of 153 in CT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $565k; list at $949k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.4% in Norwalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,387/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($106k/yr) (locally 462% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4D6SHCC5AXEA5Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29