4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,626 sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 328 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,860/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,645
Tax + insurance
−$1,027
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,651
Net cashflow
$1,537/mo
Annual
$18,449/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.48%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$194,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $695k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $384/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $695k).
It's been on market 328 days — a 12% lower offer ($612k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $612k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary (496 students, 94% FRL); Westlake Middle (314 students, 87% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 68% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $215k; list at $695k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,860/mo this rent would consume 130% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 328 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4DCZCZ495RK6JJ
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29