🏷️ Likely Rental
1439 7th Ave · Oakland, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$695,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible investment opportunity near Lake Merritt and Lakeside Park! This solid fourplex features four spacious 1BD/1BA units, each with its own living room. Fully tenant-occupied with long-term, dependable renters—ideal for investors seeking stable rental income in a high-demand area. The building sits on a cement slab foundation, minimizing maintenance concerns like dry rot. Tenants enjoy a generously sized backyard with mature fruit trees. Located just minutes from Grand Lake Theatre, Grand Lake shopping district, Downtown Oakland, Chinatown, and West Oakland BART Station—offering convenient access to transit, dining, and entertainment. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure a foothold in one of Oakland’s most desirable locations, this is a rare chance to own a turn-key income property in the heart of the city. Please do not disturb tenants. Offer subject to inspection.
Key facts
- Mature fruit trees
- High-demand area
- 4,331 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $695k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $384/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $695k).
- Recommended offer: $612k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary (496 students, 94% FRL); Westlake Middle (314 students, 87% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 68% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,860/mo this rent would consume 130% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 328 days — a 12% lower offer ($612k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $215k; list at $695k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 328 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.48%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,006,513
- List price
- $695,000
- Delta
- -30.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1715 9th Ave | 0.22mi | 4/4.0 | 2,603 (-1%) | 22mo | $980,000 | $376 | 70 |
| 1430 7th Ave | 0.03mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,914 (+11%) | 15mo | $1,100,000 | $377 | 63 |
| 269 Athol Ave | 0.46mi | 4/4.0 | 2,840 (+8%) | 22mo | $900,000 | $317 | 46 |
| 1812 15th Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 2,336 (-11%) | 22mo | $799,000 | $342 | 33 |
| 534 Haddon Rd | 0.74mi | 4/— | 2,890 (+10%) | 23mo | $800,000 | $277 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-23,580
- Equity at exit
- $103,627
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $69,954
- Equity at exit
- $60,091
Cash invested: $194,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Oakland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
ZIP-level market 94606
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 29.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,860 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,645
- Tax from tax record
- −$738 /mo · $8,853/yr
- Insurance
- −$290
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,651
- Net cashflow
- $1,537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,931 | -5% $1,734 | +0% $1,537 | +5% $1,341 | +10% $1,144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $916 | -5% $1,227 | +0% $1,537 | +5% $1,848 | +10% $2,158 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,887 | -0.5pp $1,714 | base $1,537 | +0.5pp $1,357 | +1.0pp $1,174 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $7,860 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,965 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,965 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,965 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,965 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,860 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $173,750
- Closing costs
- $20,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460 Stow Ave Oakland, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2118 | $4,900 | $2.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 621 Calmar Ave Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2024 | $5,529 | $2.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2422 E 24th St Unit 1 Oakland, CA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2364 | $3,500 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $695,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $695,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $695,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $695,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $695,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $695,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $695,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $695,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $695,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $695,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $695,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $695,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $695,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $695,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $695,000 Active 307 DOM
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2026-01-28price $695,000 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity near Lake Merritt and Lakeside Park! This solid fourplex features four spacious 1BD/1BA units, each with its own living room. Fully tenant-occupied with long-term, dependable renters—ideal for investors seeking stable rental income in a high-demand area. The building sits on a cement slab foundation, minimizing maintenance concerns like dry rot. Tenants enjoy a generously sized backyard with mature fruit trees. Located just minutes from Grand Lake Theatre, Grand Lake shopping district, Downtown Oakland, Chinatown, and West Oakland BART Station—offering convenient access to transit, dining, and entertainment. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure a foothold in one of Oakland’s most desirable locations, this is a rare chance to own a turn-key income property in the heart of the city. Please do not disturb tenants. Offer subject to inspection.
-
2025-07-28$785,000 Active 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity near Lake Merritt and Lakeside Park! This solid fourplex features four spacious 1BD/1BA units, each with its own living room. Fully tenant-occupied with long-term, dependable renters—ideal for investors seeking stable rental income in a high-demand area. The building sits on a cement slab foundation, minimizing maintenance concerns like dry rot. Tenants enjoy a generously sized backyard with mature fruit trees. Located just minutes from Grand Lake Theatre, Grand Lake shopping district, Downtown Oakland, Chinatown, and West Oakland BART Station—offering convenient access to transit, dining, and entertainment. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure a foothold in one of Oakland’s most desirable locations, this is a rare chance to own a turn-key income property in the heart of the city. Please do not disturb tenants. Offer subject to inspection.
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2021-10-05historical
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2021-07-15price
-
2021-05-18New
-
1992-07-29soldstatus $215,000
-
1988-05-17soldstatus $198,000
-
1985-11-04soldstatus $148,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,853 · $738/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,853 · $738/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $94,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,931
- − Property taxes
- −$8,853
- − Insurance
- −$3,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,546
- − Management
- −$7,546
- − Depreciation
- −$20,218
- Taxable income
- $7,751
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,860
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,194
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #11769
- State rank
- #1007 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #7245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 385,993
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,966
- Household income
- $72,470
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3757.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 32% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 20% Black 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 19% Chinese 14% Vietnamese 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -798.52%
- Current HPI
- 334.5111
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.86%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+369.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $695,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-07-28 Listed $785,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-10-05 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-07-15 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-05-18 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 1992-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 1988-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $8,853 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…