3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,750 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$55/mo
Annual
$659/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($659/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#273 in PA, #2,406 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Greencastle-Antrim SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #118 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Greencastle-Antrim El Sch (math 45% / reading 63%, grade C, #557 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 680 students, 40% FRL); Greencastle-Antrim Ms (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #137 of 512 statewide, top 27%, 689 students, 37% FRL); Greencastle-Antrim Shs (math 74% / reading 24%, grade D, #149 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 1,047 students, 32% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $147k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.1% in Greencastle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4DXDA9DWW4WCYA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29