3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,299/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$417/mo
Annual
$4,998/yr
Cap rate
12.96%
Cash-on-cash
23.80%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,152 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Hoopeston Area CUSD 11 (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #559 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Maple Elem School (311 students, 0% FRL); Hoopeston Area Middle School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #608 of 665 statewide, top 92%, 249 students, 0% FRL); Hoopeston Area High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 338 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 7.3% in Hoopeston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29