3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,071 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,763/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,823
Tax + insurance
−$604
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,210
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,505/yr
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.74%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$204,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $729k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $576k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($718k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $576k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Bedford Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #211 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Pound Ridge Elementary School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B, #591 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 238 students, 10% FRL); Fox Lane Middle School (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #300 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 765 students, 38% FRL); Fox Lane High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,241 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 10% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $729k implies a 2381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $204k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in West Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4FDRYX0Y00T15X
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29