110 Cross Pond Rd · West Mountain, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$729,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright & Airy Contemporary with Soaring Cathedral Ceilings! Welcome to your private retreat in the charming town of Pound Ridge. Set on 2.6 serene acres, this 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers a rare opportunity to create your dream oasis in one of Westchester’s most sought-after locations. At the end of a long, private driveway, this home is surrounded by natural beauty, sounds of nature, complete with a gorgeous pond to enhance the already tranquil setting. Whether you’re seeking a full-time residence, a weekend escape from the city, or an investment opportunity, this hidden gem presents endless potential. Run, don't walk, it will not last!
Key facts
- 2.65 acre lot
- Built 1980
- Listed 20 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $729k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $576k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $576k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in West Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bedford Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #211 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Pound Ridge Elementary School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B, #591 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 238 students, 10% FRL); Fox Lane Middle School (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #300 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 765 students, 38% FRL); Fox Lane High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,241 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 10% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $204k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($718k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $729k implies a 2381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.74%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $770,412
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Cross Pond Rd | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 1,781 (-14%) | 1mo | $729,000 | $409 | 74 |
| 8 Maclean Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,098 (+1%) | 10mo | $1,255,000 | $598 | 72 |
| 161 Parkview Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 2,116 (+2%) | 12mo | $753,000 | $356 | 58 |
| 7 Fay Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,018 (-3%) | 18mo | $750,000 | $372 | 55 |
| 32 Cross Pond Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,908 (-8%) | 17mo | $660,000 | $346 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $128,364
- Equity at exit
- $362,733
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $406,288
- Equity at exit
- $587,855
Cash invested: $204,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10576
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,763 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,823
- Tax from tax record
- −$300 /mo · $3,604/yr
- Insurance
- −$304
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,210
- Net cashflow
- $125
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $538 | -5% $332 | +0% $125 | +5% $-81 | +10% $-287 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-330 | -5% $-102 | +0% $125 | +5% $353 | +10% $581 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $493 | -0.5pp $311 | base $125 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $182,250
- Closing costs
- $21,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-08$729,000 Active
-
1979-01-16soldstatus $29,379
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,604 · $300/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,602 · $800/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,998/yr (+$500/mo · 166.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $69,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,835
- − Property taxes
- −$3,604
- − Insurance
- −$3,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,532
- − Management
- −$5,532
- − Depreciation
- −$21,207
- Taxable loss
- −$11,205
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,689
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619950
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $98,055
- Composite
- 53.17/100
- National rank
- #1508
- State rank
- #211 of 590 in NY
Livability — West Mountain
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,904
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.84%
- Current HPI
- 239.5803
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+2381.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $729,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1979-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,379 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,604 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…