2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,446 sqft ·
Built 1936
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,535/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$849/yr
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.09%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($849/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#673 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Taft ISD (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #727 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4FYDX2ENVRAA06
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29