2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Other
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$961/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$378
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$255/mo
Annual
$3,055/yr
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.16%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$20,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($961 rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#808 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Western CUSD 12 (rural): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #395 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Western Barry Elem (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 229 students, 0% FRL); Western Jr High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #389 of 665 statewide, top 60%, 160 students, 0% FRL); Western High School (math 30% / reading 10%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 140 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4K6QHW5C9Y11HY
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29