3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,786 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,270/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$776
Tax + insurance
−$206
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$258/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$41,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($258/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#467 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Salem Chsd 600 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #571 of 919 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Salem Community High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 732 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4KB71E377E4P7M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29