2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 353 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$239
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-393/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.11%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-393/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (4.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (13.5% below list).
It's been on market 353 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,308 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Emiliano Zapata El (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 543 students, 98% FRL); Juarez-Lincoln H S (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,632 statewide, top 93%, 2,062 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 54% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 477 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 353 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4M3NA7ASJJ0T9V
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29