24 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,744 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,617
Tax + insurance
−$587
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,052
Net cashflow
$753/mo
Annual
$9,034/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$139,720
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 2×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $499k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $753 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $188/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $499k).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($439k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $439k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#64 in WA, #1,157 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D-.
Ellensburg School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #148 of 291 in WA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 302 active listings in the ZIP; 433 units permitted in Kittitas County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kittitas County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $144k; list at $499k implies a 248% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.8% in Ellensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,008/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 2076% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29