5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,346 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,786/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$668
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$375
Net cashflow
$-175/mo
Annual
$-2,100/yr
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.16%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (17.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
9 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4MXEYQDZRSZ00M
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29