4700 Thompson St · Moss Point, MS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Priced to reflect the need for some cosmetic TLC. Looking for a home that actually fits your lifestyle? This 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence boasts a whopping 3,346 sq ft of space. It's functional and ready for you to move in tomorrow--but it's also the perfect candidate for a cosmetic makeover. Sold as is, Cash Only. Schedule your private tour now!
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- Built 2007
- Listed 130 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; House; One level; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Microwave; Granite counters; Breakfast bar
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (3 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Bar; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Double vanity; Entrance foyer; Granite counters; His and hers closets; Walk-in closet(s); Fireplace in living room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (17.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.16%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,836
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4819 Church St | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,962 (-12%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $66 | 59 |
| 3101 Bellview Ave | 0.61mi | 6/2.5 (+1) | 2,925 (-13%) | 22mo | $79,950 | $27 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $25,495
- Equity at exit
- $94,968
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $89,194
- Equity at exit
- $160,529
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39563
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,786 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $-175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $175,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $175,000 Pending 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $175,000
-
2026-04-16price $185,000
-
2026-04-02price $189,900
-
2026-03-17price $195,000
-
2026-02-03$199,900 Active
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2025-11-29$270,000 Active
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-07-16price $275,000
-
2025-06-24price $285,000
-
2025-05-21status Active
-
2025-05-20historical
-
2025-04-25price $299,999
-
2025-03-09price $310,000
-
2025-02-07price $323,000
-
2025-01-14price $333,000
-
2024-12-31price $340,000
-
2024-12-05soldstatus
-
2024-11-27$350,000 Active
-
2023-08-16historical
-
2023-06-11price $375,000
-
2023-04-14price $385,000
-
2023-03-31$395,000 Active
-
2021-12-15soldstatus Closed
-
2021-11-18status Pending
-
2021-11-09status Active
-
2021-11-05status Pending
-
2021-10-28status Active
-
2021-10-20historical
-
2021-09-22historical
-
2021-03-24$124,900
-
2014-11-10$280,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,027 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,027 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,027
- − Insurance
- −$5,994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,715
- − Management
- −$1,715
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$4,910
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,178
- After-tax cash flow
- $-922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moss Point Separate School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803000
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,041
- Composite
- 16.34/100
- National rank
- #9205
- State rank
- #94 of 130 in MS
Livability — Moss Point
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #10398
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moss Point, MS
- City population
- 12,023
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,023
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Current HPI
- 155.3138
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-37.5% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $175,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $185,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $189,900 MLSU
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $195,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-03 Listed $199,900 MLSU
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-11-29 Listed $270,000 MLSU
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $275,000 MLSU
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $285,000 MLSU
- 2025-05-21 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-05-20 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-04-25 Price Changed $299,999 MLSU
- 2025-03-09 Price Changed $310,000 MLSU
- 2025-02-07 Price Changed $323,000 MLSU
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $333,000 MLSU
- 2024-12-31 Price Changed $340,000 MLSU
- 2024-12-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-11-27 Listed $350,000 MLSU
- 2023-08-16 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2023-06-11 Price Changed $375,000 MLSU
- 2023-04-14 Price Changed $385,000 MLSU
- 2023-03-31 Listed $395,000 MLSU
- 2021-12-15 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-11-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2021-11-09 Relisted — MLSU
- 2021-11-05 Pending — MLSU
- 2021-10-28 Relisted — MLSU
- 2021-10-20 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-09-22 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-03-24 Listed $124,900 MLSU
- 2014-11-10 Listed $280,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2023): $2,027 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…