3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,621/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$424
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$722/mo
Annual
$8,659/yr
Cap rate
17.00%
Cash-on-cash
38.23%
DSCR
2.70
1% rule
2.00%
Cash to close
$22,652
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $81k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $81k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $76k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $559 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #673 of 966 statewide, top 71%, 342 students, 82% FRL); North Middle School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #121 of 270 statewide, top 46%, 590 students, 63% FRL); Coronado High School (math 32% / reading 58%, grade D-, #139 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 1,305 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 195 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4NDH162R8W9Q6B
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29