12 bd · 8.0 ba ·
4,080 sqft ·
Built 1941
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 279 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,365/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,664
Tax + insurance
−$1,253
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,177
Net cashflow
$1,272/mo
Annual
$15,259/yr
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$302,400
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.08M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $318/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.04M (4.0% below list).
It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($950k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $950k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Horace Mann Elementary (192 students, 100% FRL); United For Success Academy Middle (370 students, 96% FRL); Fremont High (1,146 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 68% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $340k; list at $1.08M implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,365/mo this rent would consume 172% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4PBXXB9AZ8571T
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29