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4709 Foothill Blvd Fourplex
D Composite 43.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,080,000

4709 Foothill Blvd · Oakland, CA 94601
12 bd · 8.0 ba · 4,080 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 279 Days on market
Built 1941 5,027 sqft lot $265/sqft · 21% above area Est $893k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fully occupied four-plex in a prime, high-demand rental location. Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a private suite with a spacious floor plan. Current rents are below market, offering future income growth potential. The gated complex includes 4 parking spaces, offering both security and convenience. Just half a block from Fremont High School and minutes to Mills College, major freeways, bus routes, shops, and dining. A solid investment with stable occupancy and long-term upside.

Key facts

  • Gated complex
  • 5,027 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots

Tags

GATED COMPLEXMINUTES TO MILLS COLLEGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.08M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $318/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.04M (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $950k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Horace Mann Elementary (192 students, 100% FRL); United For Success Academy Middle (370 students, 96% FRL); Fremont High (1,146 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 68% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,365/mo this rent would consume 172% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($950k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $340k; list at $1.08M implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $950,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$893,201
List price
$1,080,000
Delta
20.91%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2169 48th Ave 0.26mi 11/— (-1) 3,896 (-4%) 8mo $830,000 $213 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-84,833
Equity at exit
$161,032
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$68,811
Equity at exit
$93,379

Cash invested: $302,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Oakland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
Rent Adjustment Program + Just Cause.

ZIP-level market 94601

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
34.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,365 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,664
Tax from tax record
$803 /mo · $9,637/yr
Insurance
$450
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,177
Net cashflow
$1,272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,755
Max offer price $1,080,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,883 -5% $1,577 +0% $1,272 +5% $966 +10% $660
Rent -10% $453 -5% $862 +0% $1,272 +5% $1,681 +10% $2,090
Rate -1.0pp $1,815 -0.5pp $1,546 base $1,272 +0.5pp $992 +1.0pp $707

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $10,365

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$270,000
Closing costs
$32,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 279 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 278 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 277 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 274 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 273 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 272 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 271 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 270 DOM
  9. 2026-02-05
    price $1,080,000 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Fully occupied four-plex in a prime, high-demand rental location. Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a private suite with a spacious floor plan. Current rents are below market, offering future income growth potential. The gated complex includes 4 parking spaces, offering both security and convenience. Just half a block from Fremont High School and minutes to Mills College, major freeways, bus routes, shops, and dining. A solid investment with stable occupancy and long-term upside.

  10. 2025-11-14
    status Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Fully occupied four-plex in a prime, high-demand rental location. Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a private suite with a spacious floor plan. Current rents are below market, offering future income growth potential. The gated complex includes 4 parking spaces, offering both security and convenience. Just half a block from Fremont High School and minutes to Mills College, major freeways, bus routes, shops, and dining. A solid investment with stable occupancy and long-term upside.

  11. 2025-11-14
    status Pending 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Fully occupied four-plex in a prime, high-demand rental location. Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a private suite with a spacious floor plan. Current rents are below market, offering future income growth potential. The gated complex includes 4 parking spaces, offering both security and convenience. Just half a block from Fremont High School and minutes to Mills College, major freeways, bus routes, shops, and dining. A solid investment with stable occupancy and long-term upside.

  12. 2025-09-03
    listed $1,100,000 Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Fully occupied four-plex in a prime, high-demand rental location. Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a private suite with a spacious floor plan. Current rents are below market, offering future income growth potential. The gated complex includes 4 parking spaces, offering both security and convenience. Just half a block from Fremont High School and minutes to Mills College, major freeways, bus routes, shops, and dining. A solid investment with stable occupancy and long-term upside.

  13. 2023-11-26
    historical
  14. 2023-07-24
    status Active
  15. 2023-07-24
    price $1,295,000
  16. 2023-07-01
    historical
  17. 2023-04-20
    listed $1,350,000 Active
  18. 2011-12-05
    soldstatus $340,000 Sold
  19. 2011-11-11
    status Pending
  20. 2011-11-08
    status Back On Market
  21. 2011-10-22
    status Pending
  22. 2011-09-24
    listed $329,900 New
  23. 2007-10-03
    historical
  24. 2000-02-10
    soldstatus $210,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$9,637 · $803/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,637 · $803/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$124,380
− Mortgage interest
−$60,497
− Property taxes
−$9,637
− Insurance
−$5,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,950
− Management
−$9,950
− Depreciation
−$31,418
Taxable loss
−$2,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$594
After-tax cash flow
$15,853/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakland Unified
NCES district ID
0628050
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,194
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#11769
State rank
#1007 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Oakland

Score
71/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#7245

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakland, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
385,993
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
53,259
Household income
$72,359
Rent vs Own
63.6% rent · 36.4% own
Severe rent burden
3603.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% Asian 18% Black 13% White 11% Two or more races 10% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
35% English-only · Spanish 46% Chinese 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1045.52%
Current HPI
347.3256
Rent YoY
▲ 3.89%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+414.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $1,080,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-11-14 Relisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-11-14 Pending San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $1,100,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2023-11-26 Delisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2023-07-24 Relisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2023-07-24 Price Changed $1,295,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2023-07-01 Delisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2023-04-20 Listed $1,350,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2011-12-05 Sold (MLS) $340,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2011-11-11 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2011-11-08 Relisted bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2011-10-22 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2011-09-24 Listed $329,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2007-10-03 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2000-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,637 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…