2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,320 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$713
HOA
−$151
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$-670/mo
Annual
$-8,043/yr
Cap rate
4.28%
Cash-on-cash
-7.18%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-670 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (29.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (27.5% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#13 in NE, #1,227 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gretna Public Schools (suburban): math 64% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 111 in NE (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Palisades Elementary School (math 79% / reading 74%, grade A, #17 of 502 statewide, top 3%, 490 students, 6% FRL); Aspen Creek Middle School (math 65% / reading 63%, grade B+, #12 of 128 statewide, top 9%, 777 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,612 units permitted in Sarpy County in 2024 (364 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarpy County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $183k; list at $400k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.5% in Gretna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4PTP3QDWF20HMD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29