4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1920
· Townhouse
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,203
Tax + insurance
−$700
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$605
Net cashflow
$-625/mo
Annual
$-7,501/yr
Cap rate
4.51%
Cash-on-cash
-6.38%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$117,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $420k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-625 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (21.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (31.4% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $288k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#323 in PA, #2,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, cost of living F.
Quaker Valley SD (suburban): math 61% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #19 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Quaker Valley Ms (math 45% / reading 80%, grade B+, #30 of 512 statewide, top 6%, 418 students, 25% FRL); Quaker Valley Hs (math 72%, 581 students, 18% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $420k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4PZVD1FXHWCYW5
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29