2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,157 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,126/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-97/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.27%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-97/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (0.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (13.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#90 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Berrien County (rural): math 48% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #24 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Berrien Primary School (813 students, 83% FRL); Berrien Middle School (math 49% / reading 46%, grade C-, #84 of 470 statewide, top 19%, 684 students, 54% FRL); Berrien High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #68 of 424 statewide, top 17%, 851 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 96 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berrien County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in Nashville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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