5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,760 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$181
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$1,100/mo
Annual
$13,197/yr
Cap rate
29.40%
Cash-on-cash
82.52%
DSCR
4.67
1% rule
3.37%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $550/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,056 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Valley Grove SD (rural): math 36% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #256 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Valley Grove El Sch (math 38% / reading 59%, grade D, #718 of 1,518 statewide, top 48%, 442 students, 63% FRL); Rocky Grove Jshs (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #167 of 437 statewide, top 39%, 369 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $60k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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