3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,431/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,868/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $243k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#61 in IN, #4,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Brownsburg Community School Corporation (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in IN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in Brownsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4RPJDX56403D29
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29