2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
824 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$225/mo
Annual
$2,701/yr
Cap rate
10.16%
Cash-on-cash
13.80%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#336 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Eldora-New Providence Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #217 of 289 in IA (top 75%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eldora-New Providence Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 280 students, 45% FRL); South Hardin High School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #211 of 336 statewide, top 70%, 242 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4RPQXX2R18JEHV
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29