3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,251 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,586/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,119
Tax + insurance
−$591
HOA
−$695
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$753
Net cashflow
$-571/mo
Annual
$-6,852/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.35%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$113,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $404k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-571 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (25.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $359k (11.2% below list).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $303k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
11 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $318k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,586/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29