3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 336 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$727/mo
Annual
$8,725/yr
Cap rate
13.00%
Cash-on-cash
23.97%
DSCR
2.07
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#77 in OR, #3,395 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
Newberg SD 29J (town): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #17 of 58 in OR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mabel Rush Elementary School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #143 of 412 statewide, top 38%, 389 students, 38% FRL); Newberg Senior High School (math 24% / reading 74%, grade D, #50 of 143 statewide, top 37%, 1,389 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 230 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.4% in Newberg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— The paint appears faded and uneven, indicating significant wear.
Major: interior paint
— The interior walls have some discoloration and the paint appears uneven.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4TG22CCF1AD4XQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29