16 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,200 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,031
Net cashflow
$1,841/mo
Annual
$22,092/yr
Cap rate
13.78%
Cash-on-cash
26.75%
DSCR
2.19
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $295k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $460/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $295k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $291k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#162 in PA, #1,345 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Schuyler Avenue El Sch (math 2% / reading 37%); Wyoming Valley West Ms (math 13% / reading 41%, grade F, #404 of 512 statewide, top 80%, 1,191 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Shs (math 57% / reading 24%, grade F, #255 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,357 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $295k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.4% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,911/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1454% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely dated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and some discoloration
Minor: landscaping
— overgrown lawn
CashFlowRE · CFR-4W5TVW8AK86FB1
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29