2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
624 sqft ·
Built 1986
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,146/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,244
Tax + insurance
−$605
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$-4,944/mo
Annual
$-59,323/yr
Cap rate
0.36%
Cash-on-cash
-21.19%
DSCR
0.06
1% rule
0.11%
Cash to close
$279,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $1000k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-59k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (87.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (88.5% below list).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($880k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (88.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#303 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Carolina Beach Elementary (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 431 students, 32% FRL); Charles P Murray Middle (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B, #54 of 475 statewide, top 12%, 882 students, 34% FRL); Eugene Ashley High (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,975 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $300k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $725k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 0.4% vs local median 2.1% in Kure Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 89% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29