3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
248 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Manufactured
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$918/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$388
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$4
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$193
Net cashflow
$210/mo
Annual
$2,518/yr
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.15%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$20,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($918 rent vs $74k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($512 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#266 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Prue (rural): math 45% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #102 of 513 in OK (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.6% in Westport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4XNBW2BNG288PP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29