8 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,462 sqft ·
Built 1953
· Townhouse
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,519/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,034
Tax + insurance
−$537
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$-371/mo
Annual
$-4,451/yr
Cap rate
4.04%
Cash-on-cash
-8.06%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$55,208
Investor read
This is a 8-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $197k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-371 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (33.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#853 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, employment D.
Killeen ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #524 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $123k; list at $197k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,519/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4Z1W1T7B798VRR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29