3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,058 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,287/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$697
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$27/mo
Annual
$328/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.88%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$37,212
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($328/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($919 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#863 in MN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
Fairmont Area School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in MN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $133k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4ZAY14AXY94C96
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29