303 N Clark St · Ceylon, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$132,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom ranch-style home in Ceylon MN. Step inside to find updated light fixtures and a functional layout designed for convenience, featuring main floor laundry and a main floor primary bedroom for easy everyday living. The home also includes an attached 2-stall garage, providing plenty of space for vehicles and storage. The finished basement adds excellent additional living space, including a spacious living room perfect for hanging out, entertaining, or relaxing. You’ll also find an additional room ideal for a home office or gym, along with two dedicated storage rooms to keep everything organized. Major mechanical updates include a brand new water heater and water softener, adding value and peace of mind. The home also features a durable metal roof and newly installed exterior doors. Step outside to enjoy the deck overlooking a beautiful backyard, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. This property offers a great combination of space, functionality, and key updates, making it move-in ready and a great option for a variety of buyers.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1976
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($328/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#863 in MN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Fairmont Area School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in MN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($919 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $133k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.88%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $40,252
- Equity at exit
- $83,627
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $117,135
- Equity at exit
- $151,722
Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56121
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,287 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,842/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,225
- Closing costs
- $3,987
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $132,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $132,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $132,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$139,900 Active 1113-char remark
Show marketing remark (1113 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom ranch-style home in Ceylon MN. Step inside to find updated light fixtures and a functional layout designed for convenience, featuring main floor laundry and a main floor primary bedroom for easy everyday living. The home also includes an attached 2-stall garage, providing plenty of space for vehicles and storage. The finished basement adds excellent additional living space, including a spacious living room perfect for hanging out, entertaining, or relaxing. You’ll also find an additional room ideal for a home office or gym, along with two dedicated storage rooms to keep everything organized. Major mechanical updates include a brand new water heater and water softener, adding value and peace of mind. The home also features a durable metal roof and newly installed exterior doors. Step outside to enjoy the deck overlooking a beautiful backyard, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. This property offers a great combination of space, functionality, and key updates, making it move-in ready and a great option for a variety of buyers.
-
2026-04-10historical $139,900 1113-char remark
Show marketing remark (1113 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom ranch-style home in Ceylon MN. Step inside to find updated light fixtures and a functional layout designed for convenience, featuring main floor laundry and a main floor primary bedroom for easy everyday living. The home also includes an attached 2-stall garage, providing plenty of space for vehicles and storage. The finished basement adds excellent additional living space, including a spacious living room perfect for hanging out, entertaining, or relaxing. You’ll also find an additional room ideal for a home office or gym, along with two dedicated storage rooms to keep everything organized. Major mechanical updates include a brand new water heater and water softener, adding value and peace of mind. The home also features a durable metal roof and newly installed exterior doors. Step outside to enjoy the deck overlooking a beautiful backyard, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. This property offers a great combination of space, functionality, and key updates, making it move-in ready and a great option for a variety of buyers.
-
2018-08-20soldstatus $52,000
-
1994-05-31soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,842 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,842 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,441
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,842
- − Insurance
- −$664
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,235
- − Management
- −$1,235
- − Depreciation
- −$3,866
- Taxable loss
- −$1,847
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairmont Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700124
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,280
- Composite
- 40.76/100
- National rank
- #3648
- State rank
- #148 of 301 in MN
Livability — Ceylon
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #863
- US rank
- #23698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ceylon, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 579
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,583 people
- By 2030
- 17,814 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,312 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,021 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 13,025 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 11,311 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Italian 3% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.01%
- Current HPI
- 255.4116
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+366.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Coming Soon $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1994-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,842 · +43.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…