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303 N Clark St
C- Composite 50.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$132,900

303 N Clark St · Ceylon, MN 56121
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,058 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1976 0.39 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom ranch-style home in Ceylon MN. Step inside to find updated light fixtures and a functional layout designed for convenience, featuring main floor laundry and a main floor primary bedroom for easy everyday living. The home also includes an attached 2-stall garage, providing plenty of space for vehicles and storage. The finished basement adds excellent additional living space, including a spacious living room perfect for hanging out, entertaining, or relaxing. You’ll also find an additional room ideal for a home office or gym, along with two dedicated storage rooms to keep everything organized. Major mechanical updates include a brand new water heater and water softener, adding value and peace of mind. The home also features a durable metal roof and newly installed exterior doors. Step outside to enjoy the deck overlooking a beautiful backyard, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. This property offers a great combination of space, functionality, and key updates, making it move-in ready and a great option for a variety of buyers.

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1976

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($328/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (3.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#863 in MN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Fairmont Area School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in MN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($919 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $133k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $128,671 (3.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.88%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$40,252
Equity at exit
$83,627
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
4.15×
Total profit
$117,135
Equity at exit
$151,722

Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56121

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,287 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$697
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,842/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,252
Max offer price $132,900
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,225
Closing costs
$3,987
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $132,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $132,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $132,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $132,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $132,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,900 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $139,900 Active 1113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1113 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom ranch-style home in Ceylon MN. Step inside to find updated light fixtures and a functional layout designed for convenience, featuring main floor laundry and a main floor primary bedroom for easy everyday living. The home also includes an attached 2-stall garage, providing plenty of space for vehicles and storage. The finished basement adds excellent additional living space, including a spacious living room perfect for hanging out, entertaining, or relaxing. You’ll also find an additional room ideal for a home office or gym, along with two dedicated storage rooms to keep everything organized. Major mechanical updates include a brand new water heater and water softener, adding value and peace of mind. The home also features a durable metal roof and newly installed exterior doors. Step outside to enjoy the deck overlooking a beautiful backyard, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. This property offers a great combination of space, functionality, and key updates, making it move-in ready and a great option for a variety of buyers.

  17. 2026-04-10
    historical $139,900 1113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1113 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom ranch-style home in Ceylon MN. Step inside to find updated light fixtures and a functional layout designed for convenience, featuring main floor laundry and a main floor primary bedroom for easy everyday living. The home also includes an attached 2-stall garage, providing plenty of space for vehicles and storage. The finished basement adds excellent additional living space, including a spacious living room perfect for hanging out, entertaining, or relaxing. You’ll also find an additional room ideal for a home office or gym, along with two dedicated storage rooms to keep everything organized. Major mechanical updates include a brand new water heater and water softener, adding value and peace of mind. The home also features a durable metal roof and newly installed exterior doors. Step outside to enjoy the deck overlooking a beautiful backyard, perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. This property offers a great combination of space, functionality, and key updates, making it move-in ready and a great option for a variety of buyers.

  18. 2018-08-20
    soldstatus $52,000
  19. 1994-05-31
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,842 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,842 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,441
− Mortgage interest
−$7,444
− Property taxes
−$2,842
− Insurance
−$664
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$3,866
Taxable loss
−$1,847
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$443
After-tax cash flow
$772/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairmont Area School District
NCES district ID
2700124
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,280
Composite
40.76/100
National rank
#3648
State rank
#148 of 301 in MN

Livability — Ceylon

Score
55/100
State rank
#863
US rank
#23698

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ceylon, MN
Population (ZIP)
579

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,583 people
By 2030
17,814 · -4.1%
By 2040
16,312 · -12.2%
By 2050
15,021 · -19.2%
By 2075
13,025 · -29.9%
By 2100
11,311 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Italian 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.01%
Current HPI
255.4116
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+366.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Coming Soon $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,842 · +43.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…