2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,276 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$181
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$-245/mo
Annual
$-2,940/yr
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.38%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (18.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#713 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Greenville Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #338 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4ZDF2A9RWNFCV4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29