122 Skyview Dr · Greenville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bedroom / 2 bath townhouse in the highly sought-after Country Estates of Greenville! This middle-unit home delivers serious potential—attached 1-car garage, full finished basement, and an unbeatable location just seconds from the town park. A rare opportunity to secure a valuable property in a tight market. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside this home offers.
Key facts
- Town park
- Unbeatable location
- $181 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (18.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#713 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Greenville Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #338 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.38%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,222
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -14.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Skyview Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (-0%) | 17mo | $240,000 | $188 | 82 |
| 120 Skyview Dr | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 1,276 (0%) | 22mo | $290,000 | $227 | 77 |
| 11293 State Route 32 | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (+7%) | 5mo | $445,000 | $325 | 65 |
| 11617 State Route 32 | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,394 (+9%) | 16mo | $205,000 | $147 | 42 |
| 721 Irving Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+13%) | 12mo | $329,000 | $228 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $115,363
- Equity at exit
- $216,211
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $352,508
- Equity at exit
- $466,267
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12083
- Home prices YoY
- 16.0%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$483 /mo · $5,795/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$181
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11321 State Route 32 Greenville, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $181 · $2,172/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $240,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $240,000 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Charming 2 bedroom / 2 bath townhouse in the highly sought-after Country Estates of Greenville! This middle-unit home delivers serious potential—attached 1-car garage, full finished basement, and an unbeatable location just seconds from the town park. A rare opportunity to secure a valuable property in a tight market. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside this home offers.
-
2026-04-07price $250,000 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Charming 2 bedroom / 2 bath townhouse in the highly sought-after Country Estates of Greenville! This middle-unit home delivers serious potential—attached 1-car garage, full finished basement, and an unbeatable location just seconds from the town park. A rare opportunity to secure a valuable property in a tight market. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside this home offers.
-
2026-03-07$265,000 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Charming 2 bedroom / 2 bath townhouse in the highly sought-after Country Estates of Greenville! This middle-unit home delivers serious potential—attached 1-car garage, full finished basement, and an unbeatable location just seconds from the town park. A rare opportunity to secure a valuable property in a tight market. Bring your vision and capitalize on the upside this home offers.
-
2026-03-06historical
-
2026-02-25price $265,000
-
2025-12-03$275,000 Active
-
2025-12-03historical
-
2025-05-16soldstatus $270,326
-
2025-03-27$290,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,795 · $483/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,795 · $483/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$5,795
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − HOA
- −$2,172
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$6,913
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,659
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612870
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,430
- Composite
- 44.81/100
- National rank
- #2740
- State rank
- #338 of 590 in NY
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #713
- US rank
- #13570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, NY
- City population
- 3,648
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,648
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,963 people
- By 2030
- 43,126 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 38,756 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 34,913 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 28,156 · -37.4%
- By 2100
- 22,296 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.23%
- Current HPI
- 378.8518
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-17.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $240,000 Global MLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $250,000 Global MLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $265,000 Global MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $265,000 Global MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $275,000 Global MLS
- 2025-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $270,326 Public Records
- 2025-03-27 Listed $290,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,795 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…