3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,722 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,745/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,501/yr
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.68%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (12.7% below list).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
School City Of Hammond (suburban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #289 of 301 in IN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warren G Harding Elementary School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #859 of 994 statewide, top 87%, 684 students, 77% FRL); Charles N Scott Middle School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #314 of 330 statewide, top 95%, 738 students, 75% FRL); Morton Senior High School (math 12% / reading 54%, grade F, #290 of 369 statewide, top 79%, 1,609 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.8% in Hammond — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-50SG0ZB9DKYZ54
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29