4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Manufactured
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,418/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$316
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$928
Net cashflow
$2,178/mo
Annual
$26,138/yr
Cap rate
20.06%
Cash-on-cash
49.16%
DSCR
3.19
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#240 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Anaheim Elementary (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #386 of 517 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mann (Horace) Elementary (722 students, 71% FRL); Sycamore Junior High (math 12% / reading 28%, grade F, #416 of 498 statewide, top 84%, 1,269 students, 92% FRL); Anaheim High (math 17% / reading 45%, grade F, #702 of 1,170 statewide, top 61%, 2,750 students, 92% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 2.1% in Anaheim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,418/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 3604% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-513QPXDJMQ0WBM
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29