3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,066 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,192/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$134/mo
Annual
$1,613/yr
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.43%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (8.3% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $119k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elkhorn Elementary (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 207 students, 47% FRL); Excelsior Springs Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #306 of 391 statewide, top 80%, 576 students, 51% FRL); Excelsior Springs High (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 787 students, 37% FRL).
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Ray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ray County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-51NEBF4M8Z1CR9
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29