4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 343 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,687/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$619
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$600/mo
Annual
$7,199/yr
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.79%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$33,040
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 343 days — a 12% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($816 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Clarkston El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 363 students, 81% FRL); Tyler H S (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,164 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 66% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.5% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 343 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Light wear and tear.
Major: Bathtub and sink
— Significant wear and potential structural issues.
Moderate: Siding
— Visible wear and discoloration.
Minor: Paint on interior walls
— Faded and may need touch-ups.
Minor: HVAC unit
— May need maintenance to ensure efficiency.
Major: Landscaping
— Sparse and could benefit from updates to enhance curb appeal.
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