103 Twin Birches Ln

Farmington, ME 04938

$79,900B

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Built 1988 · Manufactured · Active · 422 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,925/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax + insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$550
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$404
• Net cashflow: $472/mo
• Annual: $5,668/yr
• Cap rate: 13.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.34%
• DSCR: 2.13
• 1% rule: 2.41%
• Cash to close: $22,372

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated average.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• It's been on market 422 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in ME, #1,653 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D-.
• RSU 09 (rural): math 78% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #88 of 112 in ME (top 79%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Zoned schools: Mt Blue Middle School (math 78% / reading 79%, grade A+, #69 of 85 statewide, top 82%, 488 students, 50% FRL); Mt Blue High School (math 87% / reading 95%, grade A+, #42 of 108 statewide, top 38%, 733 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
• Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 164 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.1% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 422 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: Paint — Some discoloration on siding
• Minor: Deck — Some wear on wooden deck