2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,397/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-386/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.79%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-386/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (3.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (20.1% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $140k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Three Trails Elem. (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 317 students, 75% FRL); Clifford H. Nowlin Middle (math 13% / reading 29%, grade F, #342 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 875 students, 80% FRL); Van Horn High (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #472 of 521 statewide, top 91%, 1,047 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 58% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-53NGDE34JTKM45
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29