3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,306/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$620
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$48/mo
Annual
$577/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.94%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($577/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#155 in IL, #2,847 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
Proviso Twp Hsd 209 (suburban): math 12% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #507 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Thurgood Marshall Elem School (239 students, 0% FRL); Roosevelt Middle School (695 students, 0% FRL); Proviso West High School (math 6% / reading 11%, grade F, #584 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,868 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Bellwood — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29