3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,347 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,301/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$757/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($757/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (17.8% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#155 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Dawson County (rural): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #30 of 174 in GA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Robinson Elementary School (math 44% / reading 43%, grade F, #364 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 630 students, 46% FRL); Dawson County Middle School (math 47% / reading 48%, grade C-, #84 of 470 statewide, top 19%, 555 students, 46% FRL); Dawson County High School (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 773 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 887 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dawson County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.0% in Dawsonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-55490RC31RBSB7
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29