243 CR 350

Rosebud, TX 76570

$57,500C+

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 745 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Pending · 19 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $622/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$302
• Tax + insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$131
• Net cashflow: $99/mo
• Annual: $1,194/yr
• Cap rate: 8.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.41%
• DSCR: 1.33
• 1% rule: 1.08%
• Cash to close: $16,100

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($622 rent vs $58k).
• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $57k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($398 loan paydown + $954 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#732 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
• Rosebud-Lott ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #592 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Falls County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Falls County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.