3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,699/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$865
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$28/mo
Annual
$336/yr
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.85%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($336/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#55 in UT, #3,285 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Granite District (suburban): math 26% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 80 in UT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Redwood School (math 6% / reading 8%, grade F, #583 of 585 statewide, top 100%, 486 students, 77% FRL); West Lake Jr High (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #132 of 138 statewide, top 96%, 701 students, 73% FRL); Granger High (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #167 of 171 statewide, top 98%, 3,481 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 45% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Granite District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 227 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,970 units permitted in Salt Lake County in 2024 (1,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Salt Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.