2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
506 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,437/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$-247/mo
Annual
$-2,970/yr
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.82%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-247 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (19.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (34.7% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Rockford Public Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #28 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lakes Elementary School (math 68% / reading 66%, grade B+, #105 of 1,397 statewide, top 9%, 509 students, 16% FRL); East Rockford Middle School (math 50% / reading 61%, grade B-, #73 of 493 statewide, top 15%, 740 students, 16% FRL); Rockford High School (math 46% / reading 71%, grade C, #91 of 713 statewide, top 13%, 1,819 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $86k; list at $220k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-56MEZZDNH4HQQM
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29