3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
5,900 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,674/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$16,776
Tax + insurance
−$2,138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,192
Net cashflow
$-14,432/mo
Annual
$-173,183/yr
Cap rate
0.88%
Cash-on-cash
-19.33%
DSCR
0.14
1% rule
0.18%
Cash to close
$895,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $3.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14k ($-173k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $650k (79.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $567k (82.3% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $567k (82.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $223k of equity ($22k loan paydown + $201k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#138 in CA, #4,810 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
Beverly Hills Unified (suburban): math 57% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #61 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $660k; list at $3.20M implies a 385% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$357k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,674/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($118k/yr) (locally 1267% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 82% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-585ZEW19Z5AF4R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29