3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,318 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,482/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$18/mo
Annual
$215/yr
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.43%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($215/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (17.6% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $148k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#741 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Shippensburg Area SD (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #335 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: James Burd El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 502 students, 57% FRL); Shippensburg Area Ms (math 17% / reading 49%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 786 students, 55% FRL); Shippensburg Area Shs (math 71% / reading 30%, grade D+, #131 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 1,138 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 30% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $180k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.5% in Shippensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-592BBS34F93CWT
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29