3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,402 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,482/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$975
Tax + insurance
−$310
HOA
−$118
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$-233/mo
Annual
$-2,792/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.36%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$52,077
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $186k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-233 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (18.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (20.3% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#693 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
Wharton ISD (town): math 28% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #651 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Wharton County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.2% in Wharton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-596M5K8KSJB4MH
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29